Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT

Fraser Murray 7'

James Maxwell 14'
Andy Murdoch 23'
Paddy Reading 80'
Kerr McInroy 90'+1'

Kilmarnock vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

L
W
L
D
W
D

Scottish Championship

L
W
D
W
D
W

Last game

Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm

Arbroath 1 - 0 Kilmarnock

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Oli Shaw

Ayr United

All competitions

D
L
D
L
W
W

Scottish Championship

D
L
D
L
W
W

Last game

Feb 5, 2022 3.00pm

Ayr 1 - 1 Dunfermline

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Tomi Adeloye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 71.51%

Draw 17.85%

Ayr United 10.64%

Both Teams to Score:

45.57%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.04%

Under 2.5 43.96%

Over 3.5 33.65%

Under 3.5 66.35%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 89.04%

Under 0.5 10.96%

Over 1.5 64.8%

Under 1.5 35.2%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 51.18%

Under 0.5 48.81%

Over 1.5 16.18%

Under 1.5 83.82%

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 71.5%

Draw 17.85%

Ayr United 10.64%

Kilmarnock

2-0 @ 13.07%

1-0 @ 11.83%

3-0 @ 9.64%

2-1 @ 9.38%

3-1 @ 6.91%

4-0 @ 5.33%

4-1 @ 3.82%

3-2 @ 2.48%

5-0 @ 2.36%

5-1 @ 1.69%

4-2 @ 1.37%

Other @ 3.64%

Total : 71.5%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.49%

0-0 @ 5.35%

2-2 @ 3.36%

Other @ 0.66%

Total : 17.85%

Ayr United

0-1 @ 3.84%

1-2 @ 3.04%

0-2 @ 1.38%

Other @ 2.38%

Total : 10.64%

Head to Head

Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Paddy Reading 25'
Tomi Adeloye 68'

Dylan McGowan 45'+2'
Euan Murray 80'
Oli Shaw 89'
Oli Shaw 90'

Aug 2, 2021 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park

Chris Stokes 45'+1'
Liam Polworth 56'
Innes Cameron 86'
Bradley Lyons 88'

Tomi Adeloye 31'
Jordan Houston 41'
Cameron Salkeld 71'
Jack Baird 85'

Jul 14, 2017 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Andy Geggan 39'

Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Christopher Chantler 57'
Rory McKenzie 69'
Jamie Hamill 88'

Nicky Devlin 8'
Martin Campbell 44'
Scott McLaughlin 78'

Form Data

Arbroath 1 - 0 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Inverness

Kilmarnock 1 - 2 Dundee Utd

Partick 1 - 1 Kilmarnock

QotS 0 - 2 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Morton

Ayr 1 - 1 Dunfermline

Partick 1 - 0 Ayr

Hamilton 1 - 1 Ayr

Ayr 0 - 2 Morton

Ayr 1 - 0 Arbroath

Ayr 2 - 0 Raith Rovers