Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ayr United |
| 71.51% | 17.85% | 10.64% |
| Both teams to score 45.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% | 43.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% | 66.35% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.04% | 10.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.8% | 35.2% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.18% | 48.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.18% | 83.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-0 @ 13.07% 1-0 @ 11.83% 3-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-0 @ 5.33% 4-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.48% 5-0 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.64% Total : 71.5% | 1-1 @ 8.49% 0-0 @ 5.35% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.85% | 0-1 @ 3.84% 1-2 @ 3.04% 0-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.38% Total : 10.64% |