Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 44.62% | 28.73% | 26.64% |
| Both teams to score 42.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.99% | 63.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.53% | 82.47% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% | 28.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% | 63.93% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.65% | 40.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.03% | 76.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 14.4% 2-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.34% Total : 26.64% |