Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 62.78% | 21.95% | 15.26% |
| Both teams to score 45.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% | 50.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% | 72.64% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% | 15.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.41% | 44.58% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.43% | 45.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.61% | 81.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 12.26% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.01% Total : 62.77% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.95% | 0-1 @ 5.59% 1-2 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 2.2% 1-3 @ 1.07% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.34% Total : 15.26% |