Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 21.23% | 24.76% | 54.01% |
| Both teams to score 48.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% | 53.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% | 74.82% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% | 39.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% | 76.6% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% | 19.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% | 51.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 7.21% 2-1 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 3.31% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.23% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 12.77% 0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 5.17% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.8% Total : 54% |