Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 38.83% | 29.21% | 31.96% |
| Both teams to score 43.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.17% | 62.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.65% | 82.35% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% | 31.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% | 67.8% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64% | 36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.21% | 72.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.97% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.2% | 0-1 @ 11.55% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.98% Total : 31.95% |