Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 38.85% | 28.09% | 33.05% |
| Both teams to score 47.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.16% | 58.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.66% | 79.34% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% | 29.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% | 65.41% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% | 33.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% | 69.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.59% Total : 38.84% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.05% |