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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Inverness CT

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Inverness

Lafferty (9')
Haunstrup (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Deas (2'), Broadfoot (25')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
48.68%25%26.31%
Both teams to score 53.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29%49.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28%71.71%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56%20.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11%52.89%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66%33.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04%69.96%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 48.68%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 26.31%
    Draw 25%
KilmarnockDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.49%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.31%