Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
48.68% | 25% | 26.31% |
Both teams to score 53.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.29% | 49.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% | 71.71% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% | 20.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.11% | 52.89% |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.66% | 33.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.04% | 69.96% |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.49% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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