Scottish Challenge Cup
Mar 2, 2022 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oli Shaw 43' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Varian 16'
  • yellowcard Ben Williamson 63'
  • goal Ross Matthews 66'
  • goal Aaron Arnott 87'

Kilmarnock vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 63.5%
Draw 21.27%
Raith Rovers 15.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.93%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.97%
Under 2.5 48.03%
Over 3.5 29.8%
Under 3.5 70.2%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 85.53%
Under 0.5 14.47%
Over 1.5 57.56%
Under 1.5 42.44%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 56.04%
Under 0.5 43.96%
Over 1.5 19.91%
Under 1.5 80.09%

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 63.49%
Draw 21.26%
Raith Rovers 15.24%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 6.3%
4-0 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.25%
5-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 63.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 21.26%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 5.23%
1-2 @ 4.15%
0-2 @ 2.15%
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 15.24%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stephen McGinn 5' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 12' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 63' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dario Zanatta 58' goal
  • yellowcard Dylan McGowan 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Blair Alston 37' yellowcard
  • Callum Hendry 76' goal
  • Liam Polworth 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brad Spencer 14'
  • goal Liam Dick 20'
  • goal Matej Poplatnik 82'
  • yellowcard Matej Poplatnik 90'+1'
  • goal Matej Poplatnik 90'+3'