Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 62.76% | 21.1% | 16.14% |
| Both teams to score 50.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% | 45.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% | 67.98% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% | 13.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.59% | 41.4% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.68% | 41.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.16% | 77.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% 2-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 6.49% 4-0 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.87% 5-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.75% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.1% | 0-1 @ 5.09% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.25% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.14% |