Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 56.51% | 23.45% | 20.04% |
| Both teams to score 50.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% | 49.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% | 71.55% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% | 17.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% | 47.7% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.96% | 39.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.24% | 75.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 5.71% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.04% |