Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 28.64% | 27.29% | 44.06% |
| Both teams to score 47.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% | 57.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% | 78.08% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% | 35.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.73% | 72.27% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% | 25.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% | 60.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 4.91% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 12.41% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 8.4% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.06% |