| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Arbroath |
| 48.29% | 26.21% | 25.5% |
| Both teams to score 48.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% | 55.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% | 76.28% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% | 22.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.49% | 56.52% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% | 36.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.32% | 73.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.5% |