| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 65.06% | 20.13% | 14.81% |
| Both teams to score 50.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% | 66.38% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% | 12.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.01% | 38.99% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% | 42.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.49% | 78.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.15% Total : 65.05% | 1-1 @ 9.56% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.64% 1-2 @ 4.14% 0-2 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.6% Total : 14.81% |