| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 64.31% | 20.53% | 15.15% |
| Both teams to score 50.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% | 45.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% | 67.39% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.72% | 13.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.91% | 40.08% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.74% | 42.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.35% | 78.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-0 @ 11.43% 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 6.63% 4-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.86% 5-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.92% Total : 64.3% | 1-1 @ 9.76% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.53% | 0-1 @ 4.83% 1-2 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.15% |