| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 39.38% | 29.18% | 31.44% |
| Both teams to score 43.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.17% | 62.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.66% | 82.34% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% | 31.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.59% | 67.41% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.61% | 36.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.83% | 73.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.37% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.91% Total : 31.43% |