Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 48.9% | 23.36% | 27.73% |
| Both teams to score 59.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.56% | 41.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.16% | 63.84% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% | 17.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% | 47.36% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% | 27.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% | 63.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.9% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.73% |