Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 53.65% | 25.95% | 20.4% |
| Both teams to score 43.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.58% | 58.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.98% | 79.02% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% | 21.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% | 55.14% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.04% | 79.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 4.63% 4-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.87% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.4% |