Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
| 29.62% | 25.91% | 44.48% |
| Both teams to score 52.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% | 51.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% | 73.27% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% | 31.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% | 68.15% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% | 23.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% | 56.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.62% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.47% |