Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 37.34% | 26.89% | 35.76% |
| Both teams to score 51.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.05% | 53.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% | 75.39% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% | 27.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% | 63.56% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% | 28.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% | 64.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.76% |