| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 40.25% | 27.46% | 32.29% |
| Both teams to score 48.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.38% | 56.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% | 77.59% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% | 27.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% | 63.07% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% | 32.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% | 69.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.29% |