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Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Ayr United

Arbroath
1 - 0
Ayr

Hamilton (50')
O'Brien (7'), Little (67'), Wighton (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Houston (45+2')
Ashford (78')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Inverness (3-5 pen.)
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 3-1 Partick
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: Ayr vs. Elgin
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawAyr United
59.49%22.97%17.53%
Both teams to score 47.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93%51.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07%72.92%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17%16.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.19%46.81%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.2%42.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88%79.12%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 59.48%
    Ayr United 17.53%
    Draw 22.97%
ArbroathDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 12.83%
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 5.77%
4-0 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 59.48%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 7.2%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.97%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 17.53%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Ayr
2-2
Arbroath
Adeloye (70'), McKenzie (87')
Adeloye (25'), Fjortoft (59')
Nouble (10'), McKenna (28')
Hamilton (69'), Low (76')
Apr 17, 2021 12pm
Arbroath
4-0
Ayr
Little (11'), Williamson (24'), Hamilton (27'), Hilson (65')

Miller (31'), Muirhead (34')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm