| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 59.49% | 22.97% | 17.53% |
| Both teams to score 47.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% | 51.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% | 72.92% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% | 16.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.19% | 46.81% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.2% | 42.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.88% | 79.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% 2-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.82% Total : 59.48% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 6.11% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.53% |