| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
| 51.21% | 24.81% | 23.97% |
| Both teams to score 51.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% | 50.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% | 72.68% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% | 19.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% | 51.91% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% | 35.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.3% | 72.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.21% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 1% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.29% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.97% |