| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 26.22% | 26.95% | 46.84% |
| Both teams to score 47.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.74% | 57.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% | 78.1% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% | 37.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.71% | 74.29% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% | 24.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% | 58.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.22% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 12.91% 0-2 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-3 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.5% 1-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.83% |