| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 41.81% | 28.09% | 30.1% |
| Both teams to score 46.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.49% | 59.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.14% | 79.86% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% | 28.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% | 63.72% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.4% | 35.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.64% | 72.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.1% |