Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
0 - 0
Inverness

(0-0 on aggregate)

Hamilton (55'), Hamilton (73'), Wighton (120')

Carson (27'), Duffy (90+5'), Mckay (115'), Hyde (118'), Deas (120')
Devine (66'), Duffy (113')

Inverness win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Last Six:

Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Next Game: Kelty Hearts vs. Inverness
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Arbroath	35	23	62
3	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	35	15	56
4	Partick Thistle	35	8	52

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
44.49%	27.02%	28.48%

Both teams to score 48.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.7%

56.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.66%

77.33%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82%

25.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1%

59.89%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87%

35.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12%

71.87%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 44.49%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 28.49%

Draw 27.02%

Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.49%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.1% Total : 28.49%