Scottish Championship | Gameweek 35

Apr 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Arbroath

Taylor (78'), Alston (90')
Lafferty (38'), Taylor (84'), Alston (90+1'), McKenzie (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Craigen (9')
McKenna (74')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

Last Six:

Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Next Game: Fraserburgh vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kilmarnock	35	23	66
2	Arbroath	35	23	62
3	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	35	15	56

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Arbroath
61.74%	23.29%	14.98%

Both teams to score 41.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.82%

56.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.77%

77.23%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.14%

17.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.37%

48.63%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.75%

49.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.87%

84.13%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 61.73%

Arbroath 14.98%

Draw 23.28%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 15.15% 2-0 @ 13.05% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 5.31% 4-0 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.99% Total : 61.73%	1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 3.27% Other @ 0.48% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 3.8% 0-2 @ 2.21% Other @ 2.74% Total : 14.98%