Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bellslea Park
Kilmarnock logo

Fraserburgh
1 - 3
Kilmarnock

Butcher (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Shaw (6'), Murray (17'), Lafferty (70')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Fraserburgh and Kilmarnock.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fraserburgh

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fraserburgh 0-1 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 10 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Kilmarnock

Last Six:
    Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
    Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fraserburgh had a probability of 11.3%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Fraserburgh win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

    Result
    FraserburghDrawKilmarnock
    11.3% (-1.404 -1.4)17.4% (-0.8 -0.8)71.3% (2.198 2.2)
    Both teams to score 49.52% (-1.77 -1.77)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    60.01% (0.029000000000003 0.03)39.99% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    37.65% (0.032000000000004 0.03)62.35% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
    Fraserburgh Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    54.99% (-2.319 -2.32)45.01% (2.315 2.32)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    19.06% (-1.912 -1.91)80.94% (1.906 1.91)
    Kilmarnock Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    90.05% (0.55 0.55)9.95% (-0.556 -0.56)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    67.09% (1.264 1.26)32.91% (-1.269 -1.27)
    Score Analysis
        Fraserburgh 11.3%
        Kilmarnock 71.29%
        Draw 17.4%
    FraserburghDrawKilmarnock
    1-0 @ 3.58% (-0.243 -0.24)
    2-1 @ 3.29% (-0.368 -0.37)
    2-0 @ 1.43% (-0.198 -0.2)
    3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.159 -0.16)
    Other @ 1.99%
    Total : 11.3%
    		1-1 @ 8.25% (-0.352 -0.35)
    0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.324 -0.32)
    Other @ 0.88%
    Total : 17.4%
    		0-2 @ 11.92% (0.54 0.54)
    0-1 @ 10.33% (0.23 0.23)
    1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.172 -0.17)
    0-3 @ 9.17% (0.619 0.62)
    1-3 @ 7.32% (0.043 0.04)
    0-4 @ 5.29% (0.474 0.47)
    1-4 @ 4.22% (0.124 0.12)
    2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
    0-5 @ 2.44% (0.271 0.27)
    1-5 @ 1.95% (0.102 0.1)
    2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.059 -0.06)
    0-6 @ 0.94% (0.124 0.12)
    Other @ 3.57%
    Total : 71.29%