Scottish Championship | Gameweek 33

Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Dunfermline

Lafferty (26'), Shaw (76')
Lyons (48'), Alston (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lawless (49')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

Last Six:

Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Next Game: Fraserburgh vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kilmarnock	35	23	66
2	Arbroath	35	23	62
3	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	35	15	56

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
69.42%	19.18%	11.41%

Both teams to score 43.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.38%

47.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18%

69.83%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.42%

12.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.34%

38.66%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.28%

49.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.54%

84.47%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 69.41%

Dunfermline Athletic 11.41%

Draw 19.18%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
2-0 @ 13.44% 1-0 @ 12.96% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.49% 4-0 @ 4.81% 4-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.27% 5-0 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.82% Total : 69.41%	1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.18%	0-1 @ 4.37% 1-2 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.35% Total : 11.41%