| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 30.38% | 26.48% | 43.15% |
| Both teams to score 51.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.57% | 53.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% | 74.96% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% | 32.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% | 68.69% |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% | 24.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% | 59.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.38% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 4.13% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.15% |