| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 42.87% | 27.93% | 29.2% |
| Both teams to score 46.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.72% | 59.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.32% | 79.68% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% | 27.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% | 62.85% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% | 36.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% | 72.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.82% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.85% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.93% Total : 29.2% |