| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 52.71% | 25.46% | 21.82% |
| Both teams to score 46.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% | 55.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% | 76.53% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% | 21.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.21% | 53.79% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.49% | 40.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.89% | 77.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.82% |