| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 38.04% | 27.42% | 34.54% |
| Both teams to score 49.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% | 56.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% | 77.19% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% | 28.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% | 64.37% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% | 30.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% | 66.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.54% |