Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 58.36% | 23.22% | 18.41% |
| Both teams to score 48.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% | 50.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% | 72.68% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% | 17.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.66% | 47.34% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.92% | 78.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 5.72% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.41% |