Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.