Raith Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup | Final
Apr 3, 2022 at 4.15pm UK
Penny Cars Stadium
Queen of the South

Raith Rovers
3 - 1
QotS

Poplatnik (16', 70'), Ross (78')
Tumilty (44'), Varian (55'), Poplatnik (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roy (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Challenge Cup clash between Raith Rovers and Queen of the South, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: Raith Rovers vs. Peterhead
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 QotS
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: QotS vs. Annan
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawQueen of the South
65.65%20.28%14.07%
Both teams to score 48.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83%46.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53%68.47%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.77%13.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.01%40%
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.52%44.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.49%80.52%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 65.64%
    Queen of the South 14.07%
    Draw 20.28%
Raith RoversDrawQueen of the South
2-0 @ 12.03%
1-0 @ 11.9%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 6.58%
4-0 @ 4.1%
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.66%
5-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 65.64%
1-1 @ 9.64%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.28%
0-1 @ 4.77%
1-2 @ 3.91%
0-2 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 14.07%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Raith Rovers
3-3
QotS
Zanatta (9'), Connolly (13'), Poplatnik (83')
Liddle (17'), Cooper (48'), Gordon (85')
Johnston (79')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
QotS
1-1
Raith Rovers
Johnston (49')
Cameron (63')
Connolly (72')
Varian (34'), Lang (67')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Raith Rovers
0-1
QotS

Spencer (43'), Berra (49'), Varian (62'), Zanatta (90+4')
Connelly (12')
Johnston (40')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm