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Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 36
Apr 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gayfield Park
Greenock Morton

Arbroath
3 - 0
Morton

Thomson (16'), Craigen (78'), McKenna (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Inverness (3-5 pen.)
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Morton
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: Morton vs. Falkirk
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawGreenock Morton
56.2%24.36%19.44%
Both teams to score 46.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.2%53.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.73%75.27%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97%19.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4%50.6%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.83%42.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.42%78.58%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 56.19%
    Greenock Morton 19.44%
    Draw 24.35%
ArbroathDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 13.31%
2-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 5.28%
4-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 8.02%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.93%
1-2 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.44%

How you voted: Arbroath vs Morton

Arbroath
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Greenock Morton
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Arbroath
2-1
Morton
Hamilton (48'), Dowds (80')
Hamilton (90+3')
Oliver (74')
Hynes (62')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Morton
2-2
Arbroath
Oliver (46'), Blues (55')
McEntee (87'), Oliver (88')
Hamilton (43'), McKenna (87' pen.)
Stewart (89')
Apr 30, 2021 7.45pm
Arbroath
0-0
Morton

Douglas (59'), Gaston (90+3')

Strapp (81'), McLean (87')
McGinty (66')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Morton
0-1
Arbroath

Ledger (11'), Orsi (66')
Hamilton (77')
Williamson (15'), Craigen (73'), McKenna (83')