| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 56.2% | 24.36% | 19.44% |
| Both teams to score 46.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.73% | 75.27% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% | 19.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.83% | 42.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.42% | 78.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 5.28% 4-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.98% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.93% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.44% |