Ayr United vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.48%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.