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St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 29
Mar 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Kilmarnock logo

Ayr
1 - 3
Kilmarnock

McInroy (38')
FT(HT: 1-3)
McKenzie (3'), Shaw (12'), Sanders (16')
Hodson (48'), Taylor (73')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Kilmarnock.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

Last Six:
Last Game: Ayr 3-1 Partick
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: Ayr vs. Elgin
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock

Last Six:
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: Fraserburgh vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.48%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawKilmarnock
17.48%26.67%55.85%
Both teams to score 38.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.28%63.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.02%82.98%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.59%50.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.06%84.94%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8%23.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91%57.09%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 17.48%
    Kilmarnock 55.84%
    Draw 26.67%
Ayr UnitedDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-1 @ 4.01%
2-0 @ 2.74%
3-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 17.48%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 17.08%
0-2 @ 12.48%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-3 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-4 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 55.84%

How you voted: Ayr vs Kilmarnock

Ayr United
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Kilmarnock
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
1-2
Ayr
Murray (7')
Maxwell (14'), Reading (80')
Murdoch (23'), McInroy (90+1')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Ayr
0-1
Kilmarnock

Reading (25'), Adeloye (68')
Shaw (89' pen.)
McGowan (45+2'), Murray (80'), Shaw (90')
Aug 2, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
2-0
Ayr
Polworth (56'), Cameron (86' pen.)
Stokes (45+1'), Lyons (88')

Adeloye (31'), Houston (41'), Salkeld (71'), Baird (85')
Jul 14, 2017 7.45pm
E
Ayr
1-0
Kilmarnock
Geggan (39')
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
1-0
Ayr
McKenzie (69')
Chantler (57'), Hamill (88')

Devlin (8'), Campbell (44'), McLaughlin (78')