| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 26.39% | 26.34% | 47.26% |
| Both teams to score 49.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.05% | 54.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% | 76.22% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% | 36.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% | 72.87% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% | 23.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% | 57.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% 2-1 @ 6.36% 2-0 @ 4.36% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.91% Total : 26.39% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-2 @ 8.93% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.26% |