St Mirren logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Arbroath

St Mirren
0 - 1
Arbroath

FT(HT: 0-0)
Paterson (90+5')
Gold (67')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Mirren and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

Last Six:
    Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
    Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

    Arbroath

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Inverness (3-5 pen.)
      Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

      The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

      Result
      St MirrenDrawArbroath
      44.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)27.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
      Both teams to score 46.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      41.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)58.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      20.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)79.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      St Mirren Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      73.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.32% (0.0039999999999978 0)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      38.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
      Arbroath Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      62.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)37.08% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      26.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      Score Analysis
          St Mirren 44.55%
          Arbroath 27.79%
          Draw 27.64%
      St MirrenDrawArbroath
      1-0 @ 13.02%
      2-0 @ 8.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)
      2-1 @ 8.63%
      3-0 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      3-1 @ 3.84%
      3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      Other @ 2.03%
      Total : 44.55%
      		1-1 @ 12.92%
      0-0 @ 9.76% (0.0029999999999983 0)
      2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
      Other @ 0.69%
      Total : 27.64%
      		0-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
      1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      0-2 @ 4.8%
      1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      0-3 @ 1.59%
      2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      Other @ 1.78%
      Total : 27.79%