Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
May 15, 2022 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • David Bates 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Erhahon 28'
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 80'

Aberdeen vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
St Johnstone 1 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lewis Ferguson

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
St Mirren 0 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Eamonn Brophy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Aberdeen 56.18% (-0.10)
Draw 24.25% (+0.13)
St Mirren 19.58% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.34% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.77% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 53.23% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 25.21% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 74.79% (+0.43)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 81.18% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 18.82% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 49.74% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 50.26% (+0.38)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 58.32% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 41.69% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 21.84% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 78.16% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 56.17%
Draw 24.24%
St Mirren 19.58%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 13.1% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 10.94% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 56.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.85% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.24%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 6.87% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.58%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Ronan 61' goal
  • Scott Tanser 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dean Campbell 70'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Marley Watkins 7' goal
  • Christian Ramirez 9' goal
  • Marley Watkins 43' goal
  • Christian Ramirez 71' goal
  • goal Scott Tanser 42'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2021 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Connor Ronan 14' goal
  • Marcus Fraser 33' yellowcard
  • Connor Ronan 58' goal
  • Marcus Fraser 61' goal
  • goal Scott Brown 18'
  • yellowcard Teddy Jenks 27'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 34'
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 50'
  • redcard Teddy Jenks 51'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 66'
  • yellowcard Calvin Ramsey 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Jonny Hayes 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dean Campbell 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle McAllister 81'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 38' yellowcard
  • Ethan Erhahon 39' yellowcard
  • Jamie McGrath 44' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 5'
  • goal Jonny Hayes 37'
  • redcard Lewis Ferguson 51'
  • yellowcard Jonny Hayes 55'
Scottish League Cup
Nov 28, 2020 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium
  • Ilkay Durmus 4' goal
  • Cameron MacPherson 65' yellowcard
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 87' yellowcard
  • Jamie McGrath 88' goal
  • goal Niall McGinn 43'
  • yellowcard Andrew Considine 53'