Ayr United
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Elgin City

Ayr
3 - 0
Elgin


Murdoch (78')
FT

Dolzanski (10'), Dingwall (69')
Ayr win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Ayr United and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

Last Six:
    Last Game: Ayr 3-1 Partick
    Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

    Elgin City

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Elgin
      Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

      Result
      Ayr UnitedDrawElgin City
      32.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)40.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
      Both teams to score 50.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      45.24% (0.047999999999995 0.05)54.76% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      23.93% (0.038 0.04)76.07% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
      Ayr United Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      68.89% (0.040999999999997 0.04)31.11% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      32.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05)67.43% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
      Elgin City Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      73.22% (0.013000000000005 0.01)26.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      37.94% (0.015999999999998 0.02)62.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
      Score Analysis
          Ayr United 32.92%
          Elgin City 40.07%
          Draw 27%
      Ayr UnitedDrawElgin City
      1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
      2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
      2-0 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      3-1 @ 2.91% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
      3-0 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
      Other @ 2.99%
      Total : 32.92%
      		1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
      2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
      Other @ 0.93%
      Total : 27%
      		0-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
      1-2 @ 8.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
      0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
      1-3 @ 3.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
      0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      2-3 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
      1-4 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      Other @ 2.11%
      Total : 40.07%

      How you voted: Ayr vs Elgin

      Ayr United
      60.0%
      Draw
      20.0%
      Elgin City
      20.0%
      5