| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 0 | 49 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 28.76% | 27.33% | 43.91% |
| Both teams to score 47.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% | 57.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% | 78.16% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% | 35.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% | 72.23% |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% | 25.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% | 60.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.76% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 12.41% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.91% |