| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 61.78% | 20.86% | 17.36% |
| Both teams to score 53.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.57% | 42.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% | 64.84% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% | 13.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.05% | 39.95% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.12% | 37.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% | 74.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-0 @ 10.25% 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 6.72% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-0 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.21% Total : 61.77% | 1-1 @ 9.83% 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 4.86% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.56% 1-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.27% Total : 17.36% |