Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.