Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Final | 1st Leg

May 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
2 - 2
St Johnstone

(St Johnstone win 6-2 on aggregate)

McAlear (73', 80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rooney (18'), Hallberg (24')
Middleton (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Last Six:

Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Next Game: Kelty Hearts vs. Inverness
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Arbroath	35	23	62
3	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	35	15	56
4	Partick Thistle	35	8	52

St Johnstone

Last Six:

Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Next Game: St Johnstone vs. Annan
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Ross County	38	-14	41
11	St Johnstone	38	-27	35
12	Dundee	38	-30	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	St Johnstone
48.48%	27.37%	24.15%

Both teams to score 44.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.96%

60.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.73%

80.26%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09%

24.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48%

59.52%

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.08%

40.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.52%

77.48%

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 48.47%

St Johnstone 24.15%

Draw 27.35%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 14.16% 2-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.2% Total : 48.47%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.25% Total : 24.15%