Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Dundee win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.