| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Hearts | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 4 | Livingston | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 5 | Dundee United | 38 | -7 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Motherwell | 38 | -19 | 46 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 38 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 38 | -18 | 44 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Hibernian |
| 34.4% | 27.53% | 38.07% |
| Both teams to score 49.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.45% | 56.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% | 77.53% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% | 31.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% | 67.35% |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% | 28.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.39% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.07% |