Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
29.85% | 26.71% | 43.44% |
Both teams to score 50.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.45% | 54.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.1% | 75.9% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.84% | 33.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.23% | 69.76% |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% | 24.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% | 59.54% |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.85% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.98% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 23 | 48 | 71 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 70 |
3 | Hearts | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 55 |
4 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 44 |
5 | St Mirren | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
6 | Hibernian | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
7 | Dundee | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 36 |
8 | Motherwell | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 32 |
9 | Aberdeen | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 30 |
10 | St Johnstone | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 28 |
11 | Ross County | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 27 |
12 | Livingston | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |