Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.