Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 79.18%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 7.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.82%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win it was 1-0 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.