Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14

Nov 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
3 - 2
Motherwell

Halliday (45', 47'), Shankland (89' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moult (61' pen.), Spittal (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Hearts
Thursday, November 3 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-1 Motherwell
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Motherwell
41.93% ( -0.27)	25.16% ( 0.03)	32.91% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 56.45% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.97% (

-0.04)

47.03% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.73% (

-0.04)

69.27% (

0.04)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63% (

-0.15)

22.36% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.14% (

-0.22)

55.86% (

0.22)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

0.13)

27.29% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

0.17)

62.73% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Hearts 41.93%

Motherwell 32.91%

Draw 25.16%

Hearts	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.91%