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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Motherwell logo

Hearts
3 - 2
Motherwell

Halliday (45', 47'), Shankland (89' pen.)
Gordon (38'), Sibbick (73')
Grant (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moult (61' pen.), Spittal (79')
Lamie (36'), Moult (61'), McKinstry (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Hearts
Thursday, November 3 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-1 Motherwell
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Motherwell

Having relieved some pressure with last week's victory, we back Hearts to rebuild some form given the quality throughout their squad, and they should have enough to take all three points on home turf at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawMotherwell
41.93% (-0.27 -0.27) 25.16% (0.026 0.03) 32.91% (0.246 0.25)
Both teams to score 56.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)47.03% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-0.038 -0.04)69.27% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (-0.148 -0.15)22.36% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.221 -0.22)55.86% (0.223 0.22)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (0.134 0.13)27.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (0.171 0.17)62.73% (-0.168 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 41.93%
    Motherwell 32.91%
    Draw 25.16%
HeartsDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.91%

How you voted: Hearts vs Motherwell

Hearts
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
Motherwell
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Halliday (37'), Simms (58')
Haring (68')

Kelly (4'), Goss (80')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Shields (23'), Lamie (66')
Watt (90+4')

Moore (48')
Moore (64')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Boyce (5' pen.), Kingsley (22')
Devlin (43'), Moore (75'), Baningime (83')

Ojala (11'), Grimshaw (18'), McGinley (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd156632215724
5Motherwell157171823-522
6Dundee165472729-219
7St Mirren165381926-718
8Ross County163671230-1815
9St Johnstone1642101829-1114
10Kilmarnock163581734-1714
11Hearts163491825-713
12Hibernian162681828-1012


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