UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
2 - 1
RFS

Shankland (3'), Halliday (12')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Friesenbichler (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hearts and Rigas Futbola Skola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Hearts 3-4 Celtic
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rigas Futbola Skola

All competitions

Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 RFS
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Celtic	39	3.55	Furuhashi
2	Rangers	27	2.45	Colak
3	Aberdeen	22	2.00	Miovski
4	Hearts	18	1.64	Shankland
5	Motherwell	15	1.25	van Veen
6	Hibernian	14	1.17	Boyle
7	St Johnstone	13	1.08	May
8	St Mirren	12	1.09	Greive
9	Dundee Utd	11	0.92	Watt
10	Kilmarnock	9	0.75	Armstrong
11	Livingston	9	0.82	Montano
12	Ross County	6	0.50	Edwards

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Rigas Futbola Skola
41.03% ( 0.13)	24.63% ( 0.03)	34.33% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 58.7% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

-0.2)

44.28% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.34% (

-0.19)

66.65% (

0.19)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39% (

-0.02)

21.61% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.29% (

-0.04)

54.71% (

0.03)

Rigas Futbola Skola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88% (

-0.19)

25.11% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18% (

-0.26)

59.82% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Hearts 41.03%

Rigas Futbola Skola 34.33%

Draw 24.62%

Hearts	Draw	Rigas Futbola Skola
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.03%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.33%